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Wednesday 1 July 2020, 22:15 London Stadium Full time
3–2
HT 1–1
26% 25% 50%
Home win
25.6%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
49.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham 25.6% 3.90
Draw 24.8% 4.03
Chelsea 49.5% 2.02

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.2% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.8% 17.12
Over 1.5 80.1% 1.25
Under 1.5 19.9% 5.03
Over 2.5 56.8% 1.76
Under 2.5 43.2% 2.31
Over 3.5 34.4% 2.91
Under 3.5 65.6% 1.52
Over 4.5 17.8% 5.62
Under 4.5 82.2% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.6% 1.71
No 41.4% 2.42

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham / Draw 50.5% 1.98
West Ham / Chelsea 75.2% 1.33
Draw / Chelsea 74.4% 1.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.8
8.4
8.0
4.7
2.0
0.7
1
5.6
11.6
9.6
5.6
2.5
0.9
2
3.8
6.6
5.8
3.4
1.5
0.5
3
1.5
2.7
2.3
1.4
0.6
0.2
4
0.5
0.8
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: Chelsea goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.