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Monday 13 July 2020, 22:00 Old Trafford Full time
67% 20% 13%
Home win
67.1%
Draw
20.3%
Away win
12.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United 67.1% 1.49
Draw 20.3% 4.93
Southampton 12.6% 7.94

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.2% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.8% 17.34
Over 1.5 79.9% 1.25
Under 1.5 20.1% 4.98
Over 2.5 56.6% 1.77
Under 2.5 43.4% 2.30
Over 3.5 34.2% 2.92
Under 3.5 65.8% 1.52
Over 4.5 17.7% 5.66
Under 4.5 82.3% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.8% 2.01
No 50.2% 1.99

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United / Draw 87.4% 1.14
Manchester United / Southampton 79.7% 1.25
Draw / Southampton 32.9% 3.04

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.8
3.7
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
10.6
9.7
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
11.9
9.7
4.0
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
8.5
6.9
2.8
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
4.5
3.7
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.9
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Manchester United goals. Columns: Southampton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.