Monday 13 July 2020, 22:00
Old Trafford
Full time
67%
20%
13%
Home win
67.1%
Draw
20.3%
Away win
12.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.3% | 4.93 | — | — |
| Southampton | 12.6% | 7.94 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.8% | 17.34 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.1% | 4.98 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.7% | 5.66 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.3% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United / Draw | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Manchester United / Southampton | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.8
|
3.7
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.6
|
9.7
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.9
|
9.7
|
4.0
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.5
|
6.9
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.5
|
3.7
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.9
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Manchester United
3-1
Southampton
Sep 2024
Southampton
0-3
Manchester United
Mar 2023
Manchester United
0-0
Southampton
Aug 2022
Southampton
0-1
Manchester United
Feb 2022
Manchester United
1-1
Southampton
Aug 2021
Southampton
1-1
Manchester United
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.