Skip to content
Wednesday 8 July 2020, 20:00 London Stadium Full time
0–1
HT 0–1
46% 27% 27%
Home win
45.9%
Draw
26.7%
Away win
27.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham 45.9% 2.18
Draw 26.7% 3.75
Burnley 27.5% 3.64

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.5% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.5% 13.37
Over 1.5 75.8% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.2% 4.12
Over 2.5 50.5% 1.98
Under 2.5 49.5% 2.02
Over 3.5 28.5% 3.51
Under 3.5 71.5% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.6% 7.34
Under 4.5 86.4% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.4% 1.84
No 45.6% 2.19

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham / Draw 72.5% 1.38
West Ham / Burnley 73.3% 1.36
Draw / Burnley 54.1% 1.85

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.5
7.0
4.4
1.7
0.5
0.1
1
9.7
12.7
6.9
2.6
0.8
0.2
2
8.1
9.3
5.3
2.0
0.6
0.1
3
4.2
4.8
2.7
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.6
1.9
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: Burnley goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.