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Thursday 16 July 2020, 22:15 Selhurst Park Full time
25% 28% 48%
Home win
24.7%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
47.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace 24.7% 4.05
Draw 27.6% 3.62
Manchester United 47.6% 2.10

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.9% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.1% 10.98
Over 1.5 71.6% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.4% 3.52
Over 2.5 45.1% 2.22
Under 2.5 54.9% 1.82
Over 3.5 23.8% 4.20
Under 3.5 76.2% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.6% 9.41
Under 4.5 89.4% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.6% 2.02
No 50.4% 1.98

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace / Draw 52.4% 1.91
Crystal Palace / Manchester United 72.4% 1.38
Draw / Manchester United 75.3% 1.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.1
11.7
9.2
4.5
1.7
0.5
1
7.6
13.1
9.2
4.5
1.7
0.5
2
4.2
6.2
4.6
2.3
0.8
0.2
3
1.4
2.1
1.5
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Crystal Palace goals. Columns: Manchester United goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.