Skip to content
Wednesday 24 June 2020, 22:15 Anfield Full time
74% 18% 8%
Home win
74.1%
Draw
17.7%
Away win
8.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool 74.1% 1.35
Draw 17.7% 5.65
Crystal Palace 8.2% 12.17

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.9% 1.06
Under 0.5 6.1% 16.45
Over 1.5 78.7% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.3% 4.70
Over 2.5 55.0% 1.82
Under 2.5 45.0% 2.22
Over 3.5 32.6% 3.07
Under 3.5 67.4% 1.48
Over 4.5 16.5% 6.05
Under 4.5 83.5% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.0% 2.38
No 58.0% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool / Draw 91.8% 1.09
Liverpool / Crystal Palace 82.3% 1.22
Draw / Crystal Palace 25.9% 3.86

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.1
3.0
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
12.2
8.4
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
14.3
8.9
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
10.7
6.7
2.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
6.1
3.8
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.7
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Liverpool goals. Columns: Crystal Palace goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.