Saturday 7 March 2020, 14:30
Anfield
Full time
85%
11%
5%
Home win
84.6%
Draw
10.9%
Away win
4.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Draw | 10.9% | 9.20 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 4.5% | 21.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.2% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.8% | 35.80 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.4% | 8.74 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.7% | 3.48 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 31.0% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| No | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 95.5% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Bournemouth | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 15.4% | 6.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.8
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.3
|
5.1
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.7
|
7.4
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.9
|
7.5
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.1
|
5.8
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
5.5
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Bournemouth
3-2
Liverpool
Aug 2025
Liverpool
4-2
Bournemouth
Feb 2025
Bournemouth
0-2
Liverpool
Sep 2024
Liverpool
3-0
Bournemouth
Jan 2024
Bournemouth
0-4
Liverpool
Aug 2023
Liverpool
3-1
Bournemouth
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.