Saturday 10 April 2021, 19:30
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Full time
27%
23%
50%
Home win
26.8%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
50.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 26.8% | 3.73 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.8% | 4.38 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.9% | 25.87 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.0% | 7.13 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.8% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| No | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart / Draw | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
| VfB Stuttgart / Borussia Dortmund | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Borussia Dortmund | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.9
|
6.0
|
6.6
|
4.4
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
4.1
|
9.9
|
9.3
|
6.2
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
| 2 |
3.3
|
6.6
|
6.6
|
4.4
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
3.1
|
3.1
|
2.1
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
1.1
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
VfB Stuttgart
0-2
Borussia Dortmund
Nov 2025
Borussia Dortmund
3-3
VfB Stuttgart
Feb 2025
Borussia Dortmund
1-2
VfB Stuttgart
Sep 2024
VfB Stuttgart
5-1
Borussia Dortmund
Apr 2024
Borussia Dortmund
0-1
VfB Stuttgart
Nov 2023
VfB Stuttgart
2-1
Borussia Dortmund
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.