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Saturday 20 March 2021, 16:30 Allianz Arena Full time
76% 14% 10%
Home win
76.1%
Draw
14.1%
Away win
9.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München 76.1% 1.31
Draw 14.1% 7.10
VfB Stuttgart 9.8% 10.25

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.9% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.1% 48.19
Over 1.5 91.5% 1.09
Under 1.5 8.5% 11.79
Over 2.5 76.9% 1.30
Under 2.5 23.1% 4.33
Over 3.5 57.6% 1.74
Under 3.5 42.4% 2.36
Over 4.5 38.1% 2.63
Under 4.5 61.9% 1.61

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.1% 1.61
No 37.9% 2.64

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München / Draw 90.2% 1.11
Bayern München / VfB Stuttgart 85.9% 1.16
Draw / VfB Stuttgart 23.9% 4.19

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.1
1.5
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
4.9
5.8
2.9
1.0
0.3
0.1
2
7.8
8.2
4.3
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
7.8
8.2
4.3
1.5
0.4
0.1
4
5.9
6.2
3.2
1.1
0.3
0.1
5
3.5
3.7
1.9
0.7
0.2
0.0
Rows: Bayern München goals. Columns: VfB Stuttgart goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.