Saturday 6 March 2021, 19:30
Allianz Arena
Full time
60%
19%
21%
Home win
59.8%
Draw
19.1%
Away win
21.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.1% | 5.24 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 21.1% | 4.74 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.8% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.2% | 46.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.4% | 11.86 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 23.2% | 4.32 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| No | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München / Draw | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Bayern München / Borussia Dortmund | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Borussia Dortmund | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.2
|
2.2
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
4.1
|
7.1
|
5.0
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.7
|
8.5
|
6.4
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
4.8
|
7.2
|
5.4
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
3.1
|
4.6
|
3.4
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
1.6
|
2.3
|
1.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
Bayern München
Oct 2025
Bayern München
2-1
Borussia Dortmund
Apr 2025
Bayern München
2-2
Borussia Dortmund
Nov 2024
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
Bayern München
Mar 2024
Bayern München
0-2
Borussia Dortmund
Nov 2023
Borussia Dortmund
0-4
Bayern München
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.