Saturday 20 March 2021, 16:30
RheinEnergieStadion
Full time
17%
19%
64%
Home win
16.5%
Draw
19.3%
Away win
64.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln | 16.5% | 6.05 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.3% | 5.18 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.7% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.3% | 30.17 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.5% | 8.02 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.0% | 3.23 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.6% | 3.49 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| No | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln / Draw | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
| 1. FC Köln / Borussia Dortmund | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Borussia Dortmund | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.3
|
6.3
|
8.2
|
6.5
|
3.9
|
1.9
|
| 1 |
2.8
|
8.4
|
9.5
|
7.6
|
4.6
|
2.2
|
| 2 |
1.9
|
4.6
|
5.5
|
4.4
|
2.6
|
1.3
|
| 3 |
0.7
|
1.8
|
2.1
|
1.7
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
1. FC Köln
1-2
Borussia Dortmund
Oct 2025
Borussia Dortmund
1-0
1. FC Köln
Jan 2024
1. FC Köln
0-4
Borussia Dortmund
Aug 2023
Borussia Dortmund
1-0
1. FC Köln
Mar 2023
Borussia Dortmund
6-1
1. FC Köln
Oct 2022
1. FC Köln
3-2
Borussia Dortmund
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.