Sunday 26 July 2020, 18:00
St. James' Park
Full time
15%
23%
62%
Home win
15.2%
Draw
23.3%
Away win
61.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 15.2% | 6.60 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.3% | 4.30 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.6% | 13.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.9% | 3.58 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.3% | 7.55 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
| No | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle / Draw | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Newcastle / Liverpool | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.6
|
12.3
|
12.0
|
7.4
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
| 1 |
5.0
|
11.1
|
9.7
|
6.0
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
2.3
|
4.2
|
3.9
|
2.4
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
1.1
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Liverpool
4-1
Newcastle
Aug 2025
Newcastle
2-3
Liverpool
Feb 2025
Liverpool
2-0
Newcastle
Dec 2024
Newcastle
3-3
Liverpool
Jan 2024
Liverpool
4-2
Newcastle
Aug 2023
Newcastle
1-2
Liverpool
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.