Wednesday 8 July 2020, 22:15
The American Express Community Stadium
Full time
12%
22%
65%
Home win
12.3%
Draw
22.4%
Away win
65.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 12.3% | 8.12 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.4% | 4.46 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.2% | 12.18 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.5% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.9% | 3.87 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.9% | 8.40 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| No | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton / Draw | 34.8% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Brighton / Liverpool | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.2
|
13.8
|
13.5
|
8.5
|
4.0
|
1.5
|
| 1 |
4.7
|
10.5
|
9.3
|
5.9
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
1.8
|
3.4
|
3.2
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
0.4
|
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Brighton
2-1
Liverpool
Dec 2025
Liverpool
2-0
Brighton
May 2025
Brighton
3-2
Liverpool
Nov 2024
Liverpool
2-1
Brighton
Mar 2024
Liverpool
2-1
Brighton
Oct 2023
Brighton
2-2
Liverpool
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.