Monday 20 July 2020, 20:00
The American Express Community Stadium
Full time
37%
31%
32%
Home win
36.7%
Draw
31.0%
Away win
32.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 36.7% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.0% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Newcastle | 32.2% | 3.10 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.4% | 8.09 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.3% | 5.80 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.8% | 14.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| No | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton / Draw | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Brighton / Newcastle | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / Newcastle | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.4
|
11.2
|
6.2
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.2
|
14.2
|
7.0
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.3
|
7.5
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.7
|
2.8
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Newcastle
3-1
Brighton
Oct 2025
Brighton
2-1
Newcastle
May 2025
Brighton
1-1
Newcastle
Oct 2024
Newcastle
0-1
Brighton
May 2024
Newcastle
1-1
Brighton
Sep 2023
Brighton
3-1
Newcastle
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.