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Wednesday 15 July 2020, 20:00 St. James' Park Full time
26% 28% 46%
Home win
25.8%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
46.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Newcastle 25.8% 3.88
Draw 27.9% 3.58
Tottenham 46.3% 2.16

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.8% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.2% 10.86
Over 1.5 71.4% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.6% 3.50
Over 2.5 44.8% 2.23
Under 2.5 55.2% 1.81
Over 3.5 23.6% 4.24
Under 3.5 76.4% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.5% 9.54
Under 4.5 89.5% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.7% 2.01
No 50.3% 1.99

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Newcastle / Draw 53.7% 1.86
Newcastle / Tottenham 72.1% 1.39
Draw / Tottenham 74.2% 1.35

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.2
11.5
8.9
4.3
1.6
0.5
1
7.9
13.3
9.1
4.4
1.6
0.5
2
4.4
6.4
4.6
2.2
0.8
0.2
3
1.5
2.2
1.6
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Newcastle goals. Columns: Tottenham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.