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Sunday 26 July 2020, 18:00 King Power Stadium Full time
36% 27% 37%
Home win
35.7%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
37.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester 35.7% 2.80
Draw 27.2% 3.68
Manchester United 37.1% 2.70

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.6% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.4% 13.57
Over 1.5 76.1% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.9% 4.18
Over 2.5 50.9% 1.96
Under 2.5 49.1% 2.04
Over 3.5 28.9% 3.46
Under 3.5 71.1% 1.41
Over 4.5 13.9% 7.20
Under 4.5 86.1% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.8% 1.79
No 44.2% 2.26

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester / Draw 62.9% 1.59
Leicester / Manchester United 72.8% 1.37
Draw / Manchester United 64.3% 1.56

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.4
8.4
6.2
2.9
1.0
0.3
1
8.2
12.9
8.4
3.8
1.3
0.4
2
6.0
8.2
5.6
2.6
0.9
0.2
3
2.7
3.7
2.5
1.1
0.4
0.1
4
0.9
1.2
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leicester goals. Columns: Manchester United goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.