Sunday 16 May 2021, 19:00
OPEL ARENA
Full time
21%
22%
57%
Home win
20.6%
Draw
22.0%
Away win
57.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 20.6% | 4.85 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.0% | 4.55 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.7% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.3% | 23.15 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.5% | 6.44 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.3% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.6% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| No | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 / Draw | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 / Borussia Dortmund | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Borussia Dortmund | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.3
|
7.3
|
8.2
|
5.7
|
3.0
|
1.2
|
| 1 |
3.9
|
9.9
|
9.8
|
6.8
|
3.6
|
1.5
|
| 2 |
2.7
|
5.6
|
5.8
|
4.1
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
| 3 |
1.1
|
2.2
|
2.3
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Borussia Dortmund
4-0
FSV Mainz 05
Sep 2025
FSV Mainz 05
0-2
Borussia Dortmund
Mar 2025
Borussia Dortmund
3-1
FSV Mainz 05
Nov 2024
FSV Mainz 05
3-1
Borussia Dortmund
May 2024
FSV Mainz 05
3-0
Borussia Dortmund
Dec 2023
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
FSV Mainz 05
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.