Sunday 11 April 2021, 19:00
RheinEnergieStadion
Full time
39%
27%
34%
Home win
39.4%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
33.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 33.7% | 2.97 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 14.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.1% | 4.32 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.8% | 3.35 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.2% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.6% | 6.87 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln / Draw | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| 1. FC Köln / FSV Mainz 05 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / FSV Mainz 05 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
7.6
|
5.5
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.4
|
12.8
|
7.9
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.6
|
8.7
|
5.7
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
4.2
|
2.7
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.5
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
1. FC Köln
2-1
FSV Mainz 05
Aug 2025
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
1. FC Köln
Apr 2024
FSV Mainz 05
1-1
1. FC Köln
Dec 2023
1. FC Köln
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
Apr 2023
1. FC Köln
1-1
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 2022
FSV Mainz 05
5-0
1. FC Köln
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.