Saturday 8 May 2021, 16:30
Signal-Iduna-Park
Full time
39%
25%
36%
Home win
39.2%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
35.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.2% | 3.96 | — | — |
| RB Leipzig | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.3% | 18.97 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.2% | 5.51 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.0% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.8% | 5.06 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| No | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund / Draw | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund / RB Leipzig | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / RB Leipzig | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.3
|
6.3
|
5.2
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
6.6
|
11.6
|
8.2
|
4.1
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.8
|
8.6
|
6.4
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
3.0
|
4.5
|
3.4
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.8
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
RB Leipzig
2-2
Borussia Dortmund
Oct 2025
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
RB Leipzig
Mar 2025
RB Leipzig
2-0
Borussia Dortmund
Nov 2024
Borussia Dortmund
2-1
RB Leipzig
Apr 2024
RB Leipzig
4-1
Borussia Dortmund
Dec 2023
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
RB Leipzig
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.