Skip to content
Wednesday 18 January 2017, 17:15 Pigadeia-Xanthi FC Arena Full time
3–1
HT 1–1
55% 29% 16%
Home win
55.4%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
15.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC 55.4% 1.80
Draw 28.7% 3.49
Iraklis 15.9% 6.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.4% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.6% 7.38
Over 1.5 61.4% 1.63
Under 1.5 38.6% 2.59
Over 2.5 33.7% 2.97
Under 2.5 66.3% 1.51
Over 3.5 15.2% 6.57
Under 3.5 84.8% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.7% 17.44
Under 4.5 94.3% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.2% 2.76
No 63.8% 1.57

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC / Draw 84.1% 1.19
Xanthi FC / Iraklis 71.3% 1.40
Draw / Iraklis 44.6% 2.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.6
7.4
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
17.5
12.2
3.7
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
12.9
8.2
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
6.1
3.9
1.2
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
2.2
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Xanthi FC goals. Columns: Iraklis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.