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Tuesday 3 January 2017, 17:15 Kaftanzoglio Stadio Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
37% 33% 31%
Home win
36.7%
Draw
32.8%
Away win
30.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Iraklis 36.7% 2.72
Draw 32.8% 3.05
Xanthi FC 30.5% 3.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.1% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.9% 6.72
Over 1.5 59.1% 1.69
Under 1.5 40.9% 2.45
Over 2.5 31.3% 3.20
Under 2.5 68.7% 1.46
Over 3.5 13.6% 7.36
Under 3.5 86.4% 1.16
Over 4.5 4.9% 20.33
Under 4.5 95.1% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.7% 2.52
No 60.3% 1.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Iraklis / Draw 69.5% 1.44
Iraklis / Xanthi FC 67.2% 1.49
Draw / Xanthi FC 63.3% 1.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.9
12.2
6.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
1
13.8
14.3
6.2
1.9
0.4
0.1
2
7.6
7.0
3.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
2.6
2.4
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Iraklis goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.