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Wednesday 18 March 2015, 17:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
4–2
HT 1–1
51% 27% 22%
Home win
50.6%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
22.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 50.6% 1.98
Draw 27.3% 3.66
Veria 22.0% 4.54

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.6% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.4% 10.60
Over 1.5 70.8% 1.41
Under 1.5 29.2% 3.42
Over 2.5 44.1% 2.27
Under 2.5 55.9% 1.79
Over 3.5 23.0% 4.35
Under 3.5 77.0% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.1% 9.89
Under 4.5 89.9% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.7% 2.10
No 52.3% 1.91

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 78.0% 1.28
Panionios / Veria 72.7% 1.38
Draw / Veria 49.4% 2.03

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.4
7.3
3.7
1.1
0.3
0.0
1
12.5
12.9
5.6
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.1
9.3
4.3
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
5.1
4.7
2.2
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.9
1.8
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Veria goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.