Saturday 24 August 2019, 19:30
Anfield
Full time
66%
19%
15%
Home win
66.0%
Draw
19.4%
Away win
14.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.4% | 5.16 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 14.7% | 6.83 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.0% | 24.81 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.8% | 6.75 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.6% | 4.07 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| No | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Arsenal | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.0
|
3.1
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.7
|
8.9
|
4.3
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.5
|
9.7
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.4
|
7.5
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
4.3
|
4.4
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.0
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Arsenal
0-0
Liverpool
Aug 2025
Liverpool
1-0
Arsenal
May 2025
Liverpool
2-2
Arsenal
Oct 2024
Arsenal
2-2
Liverpool
Feb 2024
Arsenal
3-1
Liverpool
Dec 2023
Liverpool
1-1
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.