Sunday 28 April 2019, 14:00
King Power Stadium
Full time
31%
24%
45%
Home win
31.2%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
45.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 31.2% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.2% | 23.83 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.0% | 6.67 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.2% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| No | 34.3% | 2.92 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester / Draw | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Leicester / Arsenal | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.2
|
6.0
|
6.0
|
3.7
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
4.8
|
10.4
|
9.0
|
5.5
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
| 2 |
4.0
|
7.4
|
6.7
|
4.1
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
2.0
|
3.7
|
3.4
|
2.0
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.4
|
1.3
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Leicester
0-2
Arsenal
Sep 2024
Arsenal
4-2
Leicester
Feb 2023
Leicester
0-1
Arsenal
Aug 2022
Arsenal
4-2
Leicester
Mar 2022
Arsenal
2-0
Leicester
Oct 2021
Leicester
0-2
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.