Sunday 5 May 2019, 18:30
Emirates Stadium
Full time
72%
18%
10%
Home win
71.9%
Draw
18.0%
Away win
10.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.0% | 5.57 | — | — |
| Brighton | 10.2% | 9.82 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.9% | 20.26 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.8% | 5.61 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.8% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.4% | 4.91 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| No | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Arsenal / Brighton | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw / Brighton | 28.1% | 3.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.9
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.9
|
8.5
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.2
|
9.4
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.5
|
7.3
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.5
|
4.3
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.6
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Brighton
0-1
Arsenal
Dec 2025
Arsenal
2-1
Brighton
Jan 2025
Brighton
1-1
Arsenal
Aug 2024
Arsenal
1-1
Brighton
Apr 2024
Brighton
0-3
Arsenal
Dec 2023
Arsenal
2-0
Brighton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.