Friday 27 August 2021, 21:30
Signal-Iduna-Park
Full time
62%
19%
19%
Home win
61.5%
Draw
19.3%
Away win
19.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.3% | 5.19 | — | — |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 19.2% | 5.21 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.4% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.6% | 38.20 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.1% | 9.92 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 26.5% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 33.7% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| No | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund / Draw | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund / 1899 Hoffenheim | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / 1899 Hoffenheim | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.6
|
2.5
|
2.0
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
5.0
|
7.7
|
4.9
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.7
|
9.0
|
6.1
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
5.5
|
7.4
|
5.0
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
3.4
|
4.6
|
3.1
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.7
|
2.3
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
1899 Hoffenheim
2-1
Borussia Dortmund
Dec 2025
Borussia Dortmund
2-0
1899 Hoffenheim
Apr 2025
1899 Hoffenheim
2-3
Borussia Dortmund
Dec 2024
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
1899 Hoffenheim
Feb 2024
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
1899 Hoffenheim
Sep 2023
1899 Hoffenheim
1-3
Borussia Dortmund
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.