Sunday 20 January 2019, 17:15
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
48%
28%
24%
Home win
47.7%
Draw
28.5%
Away win
23.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.5% | 3.51 | — | — |
| Athletic Club | 23.9% | 4.19 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.3% | 9.70 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.2% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.1% | 4.75 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.0% | 11.17 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.6% | 2.14 | — | — |
| No | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Athletic Club | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Athletic Club | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.3
|
8.1
|
4.1
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.8
|
13.4
|
5.8
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.6
|
8.9
|
4.2
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.6
|
4.2
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Athletic Club
1-2
Villarreal
Sep 2025
Villarreal
1-0
Athletic Club
Apr 2025
Villarreal
0-0
Athletic Club
Dec 2024
Athletic Club
2-0
Villarreal
Apr 2024
Athletic Club
1-1
Villarreal
Nov 2023
Villarreal
2-3
Athletic Club
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.