Monday 17 December 2018, 22:00
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
43%
31%
26%
Home win
43.4%
Draw
30.7%
Away win
25.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 43.4% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Athletic Club | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.7% | 7.88 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.4% | 2.74 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.7% | 5.99 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.5% | 15.38 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| No | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Alaves / Athletic Club | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Athletic Club | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.7
|
9.8
|
4.7
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.9
|
13.9
|
5.9
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
8.1
|
3.6
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
3.3
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Alaves
2-4
Athletic Club
Sep 2025
Athletic Club
0-1
Alaves
May 2025
Athletic Club
1-0
Alaves
Dec 2024
Alaves
1-1
Athletic Club
Mar 2024
Athletic Club
2-0
Alaves
Sep 2023
Alaves
0-2
Athletic Club
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.