Saturday 28 August 2021, 16:30
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Full time
38%
26%
36%
Home win
38.4%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
36.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.5% | 3.92 | — | — |
| SC Freiburg | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.04 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.9% | 5.28 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.8% | 5.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| No | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart / Draw | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| VfB Stuttgart / SC Freiburg | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / SC Freiburg | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
6.6
|
5.4
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
6.8
|
11.8
|
8.2
|
4.1
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.8
|
8.5
|
6.3
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.0
|
4.4
|
3.3
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.7
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
VfB Stuttgart
1-0
SC Freiburg
Sep 2025
SC Freiburg
3-1
VfB Stuttgart
Jan 2025
VfB Stuttgart
4-0
SC Freiburg
Aug 2024
SC Freiburg
3-1
VfB Stuttgart
Feb 2024
SC Freiburg
1-3
VfB Stuttgart
Sep 2023
VfB Stuttgart
5-0
SC Freiburg
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.