Saturday 20 February 2021, 22:00
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Full time
17%
26%
57%
Home win
16.5%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
57.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid | 16.5% | 6.05 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Real Madrid | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.1% | 9.92 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.9% | 3.23 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.4% | 4.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.2% | 10.93 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| No | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid / Draw | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Valladolid / Real Madrid | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Real Madrid | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.1
|
14.5
|
12.3
|
6.6
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
6.4
|
12.1
|
9.2
|
4.9
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
2.6
|
4.3
|
3.4
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
0.7
|
1.1
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Valladolid
0-3
Real Madrid
Aug 2024
Real Madrid
3-0
Valladolid
Apr 2023
Real Madrid
6-0
Valladolid
Dec 2022
Valladolid
0-2
Real Madrid
Sep 2020
Real Madrid
1-0
Valladolid
Jan 2020
Valladolid
0-1
Real Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.