Saturday 1 February 2020, 22:00
Estadio de Mestalla
Full time
62%
22%
16%
Home win
62.0%
Draw
21.8%
Away win
16.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.8% | 4.59 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 16.2% | 6.19 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.6% | 17.84 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.5% | 5.14 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.3% | 5.45 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| No | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Valencia / Celta Vigo | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.6
|
4.2
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.7
|
10.3
|
4.6
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.5
|
9.9
|
4.7
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.1
|
6.8
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.6
|
3.5
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.5
|
1.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Valencia
2-3
Celta Vigo
Jan 2026
Celta Vigo
4-1
Valencia
Feb 2025
Valencia
2-1
Celta Vigo
Aug 2024
Celta Vigo
3-1
Valencia
May 2024
Celta Vigo
2-2
Valencia
Nov 2023
Valencia
0-0
Celta Vigo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.