Saturday 5 October 2019, 19:30
Estadio de Mestalla
Full time
56%
26%
17%
Home win
56.3%
Draw
26.5%
Away win
17.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
| Alaves | 17.2% | 5.81 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.3% | 9.76 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.3% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.0% | 4.75 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.9% | 11.18 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| No | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Valencia / Alaves | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Alaves | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.3
|
6.6
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.5
|
12.2
|
4.4
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.0
|
9.2
|
3.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.3
|
4.8
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.5
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Valencia
3-2
Alaves
Oct 2025
Alaves
0-0
Valencia
May 2025
Alaves
1-0
Valencia
Dec 2024
Valencia
2-2
Alaves
May 2024
Valencia
0-1
Alaves
Sep 2023
Alaves
1-0
Valencia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.