Skip to content
Saturday 9 January 2021, 15:00 Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Full time
46% 28% 26%
Home win
46.3%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
25.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla 46.3% 2.16
Draw 28.1% 3.56
Real Sociedad 25.6% 3.91

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.5% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.5% 10.57
Over 1.5 70.8% 1.41
Under 1.5 29.2% 3.42
Over 2.5 44.1% 2.27
Under 2.5 55.9% 1.79
Over 3.5 23.0% 4.35
Under 3.5 77.0% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.1% 9.90
Under 4.5 89.9% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.0% 2.04
No 51.0% 1.96

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla / Draw 74.4% 1.34
Sevilla / Real Sociedad 71.9% 1.39
Draw / Real Sociedad 53.7% 1.86

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.5
8.0
4.4
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
11.8
13.3
6.3
2.1
0.5
0.1
2
9.0
9.0
4.5
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
4.3
4.3
2.2
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.6
1.6
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sevilla goals. Columns: Real Sociedad goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.