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Sunday 3 February 2019, 17:15 Benito Villamarín Full time
19% 28% 53%
Home win
19.0%
Draw
28.0%
Away win
53.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis 19.0% 5.27
Draw 28.0% 3.57
Atletico Madrid 53.0% 1.89

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.7% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.3% 8.84
Over 1.5 66.3% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.7% 2.97
Over 2.5 38.9% 2.57
Under 2.5 61.1% 1.64
Over 3.5 19.0% 5.28
Under 3.5 81.0% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.7% 12.91
Under 4.5 92.3% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.2% 2.37
No 57.8% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis / Draw 47.0% 2.13
Real Betis / Atletico Madrid 72.0% 1.39
Draw / Atletico Madrid 81.0% 1.23

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.3
14.9
11.5
5.6
2.1
0.6
1
7.5
12.8
8.9
4.4
1.6
0.5
2
3.2
4.7
3.4
1.7
0.6
0.2
3
0.8
1.2
0.9
0.4
0.2
0.0
4
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Betis goals. Columns: Atletico Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.