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Saturday 12 September 2026, 18:00 Toumba Stadium
61% 24% 15%
Home win
60.9%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
15.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 60.9% 1.64
Draw 24.0% 4.17
Aris Thessalonikis 15.2% 6.59

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.7% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.3% 12.04
Over 1.5 73.3% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.7% 3.74
Over 2.5 47.4% 2.11
Under 2.5 52.6% 1.90
Over 3.5 25.7% 3.89
Under 3.5 74.3% 1.35
Over 4.5 11.8% 8.47
Under 4.5 88.2% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.7% 2.19
No 54.3% 1.84

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 84.8% 1.18
PAOK / Aris Thessalonikis 76.0% 1.32
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 39.1% 2.56

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.3
5.3
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
13.1
11.3
4.1
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
12.3
9.6
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
7.3
5.7
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
3.3
2.6
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.2
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.