Saturday 4 December 2021, 17:00
St. James' Park
Full time
33%
33%
33%
Home win
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Away win
33.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 33.3% | 3.00 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.3% | 3.00 | — | — |
| Burnley | 33.4% | 2.99 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| No | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle / Draw | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Newcastle / Burnley | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Dec 2025
Burnley
1-3
Newcastle
Dec 2025
Newcastle
2-1
Burnley
May 2024
Burnley
1-4
Newcastle
Sep 2023
Newcastle
2-0
Burnley
May 2022
Burnley
1-2
Newcastle
Apr 2021
Burnley
1-2
Newcastle
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.