Sunday 10 April 2022, 18:30
Etihad Stadium
Full time
46%
27%
28%
Home win
45.9%
Draw
26.5%
Away win
27.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 27.5% | 3.63 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.3% | 13.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.8% | 4.21 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.0% | 7.12 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| No | 45.0% | 2.22 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City / Draw | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Manchester City / Liverpool | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.3
|
6.9
|
4.4
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.6
|
12.6
|
6.9
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.0
|
9.3
|
5.4
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.2
|
4.8
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.9
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Liverpool
1-2
Manchester City
Nov 2025
Manchester City
3-0
Liverpool
Feb 2025
Manchester City
0-2
Liverpool
Dec 2024
Liverpool
2-0
Manchester City
Mar 2024
Liverpool
1-1
Manchester City
Nov 2023
Manchester City
1-1
Liverpool
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.