Sunday 29 September 2019, 18:30
King Power Stadium
Full time
47%
29%
24%
Home win
46.7%
Draw
29.1%
Away win
24.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Newcastle | 24.2% | 4.13 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.0% | 9.08 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.8% | 3.05 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.6% | 5.10 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.1% | 12.32 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
| No | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester / Draw | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Leicester / Newcastle | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Newcastle | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.0
|
8.6
|
4.2
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.3
|
13.5
|
5.8
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.6
|
8.7
|
4.0
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.4
|
4.0
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Leicester
0-3
Newcastle
Dec 2024
Newcastle
4-0
Leicester
May 2023
Newcastle
0-0
Leicester
Dec 2022
Leicester
0-3
Newcastle
Apr 2022
Newcastle
2-1
Leicester
Dec 2021
Leicester
4-0
Newcastle
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.