Monday 7 December 2020, 22:00
The American Express Community Stadium
Full time
35%
28%
37%
Home win
35.5%
Draw
27.7%
Away win
36.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.7% | 3.62 | — | — |
| Southampton | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.9% | 12.67 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.3% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.2% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.8% | 7.81 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton / Draw | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Brighton / Southampton | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.9
|
8.8
|
6.4
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.6
|
13.2
|
8.3
|
3.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.1
|
8.1
|
5.4
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
3.5
|
2.4
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Southampton
0-4
Brighton
Nov 2024
Brighton
1-1
Southampton
May 2023
Brighton
3-1
Southampton
Dec 2022
Southampton
1-3
Brighton
Apr 2022
Brighton
2-2
Southampton
Dec 2021
Southampton
1-1
Brighton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.