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Saturday 8 May 2021, 19:30 Allianz Arena Full time
68% 17% 15%
Home win
67.9%
Draw
17.4%
Away win
14.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München 67.9% 1.47
Draw 17.4% 5.75
Borussia Mönchengladbach 14.8% 6.77

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.5% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.5% 40.08
Over 1.5 90.2% 1.11
Under 1.5 9.8% 10.23
Over 2.5 74.2% 1.35
Under 2.5 25.8% 3.87
Over 3.5 54.0% 1.85
Under 3.5 46.0% 2.17
Over 4.5 34.5% 2.90
Under 4.5 65.5% 1.53

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 65.6% 1.52
No 34.4% 2.91

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München / Draw 85.2% 1.17
Bayern München / Borussia Mönchengladbach 82.6% 1.21
Draw / Borussia Mönchengladbach 32.1% 3.11

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.5
2.1
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
1
5.2
7.1
4.1
1.6
0.5
0.1
2
7.4
8.9
5.4
2.2
0.7
0.2
3
6.6
7.9
4.8
1.9
0.6
0.1
4
4.4
5.3
3.2
1.3
0.4
0.1
5
2.3
2.8
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.1
Rows: Bayern München goals. Columns: Borussia Mönchengladbach goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.