Saturday 12 September 2026, 18:00
Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium
13%
24%
63%
Home win
13.1%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
63.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis | 13.1% | 7.62 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.5% | 4.25 | — | — |
| AEK Athens FC | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.0% | 11.16 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.9% | 4.19 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.7% | 9.38 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
| No | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis / Draw | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Asteras Tripolis / AEK Athens FC | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / AEK Athens FC | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.0
|
14.4
|
13.5
|
8.1
|
3.6
|
1.3
|
| 1 |
5.1
|
10.9
|
9.3
|
5.5
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
| 2 |
2.0
|
3.5
|
3.2
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
0.5
|
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Asteras Tripolis
0-1
AEK Athens FC
Aug 2025
AEK Athens FC
1-0
Asteras Tripolis
Feb 2025
Asteras Tripolis
0-3
AEK Athens FC
Nov 2024
AEK Athens FC
3-0
Asteras Tripolis
Feb 2024
AEK Athens FC
4-2
Asteras Tripolis
Oct 2023
Asteras Tripolis
0-3
AEK Athens FC
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.