Skip to content
Σ SigmaGoal
ΕΛ EN
Sign in
Saturday 22 August 2026, 20:00 Allwyn Arena
AEK Athens FC
to kickoff
Live
Iraklis 1908
76% 17% 7%
Home win
75.8%
Draw
16.7%
Away win
7.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 75.8% 1.32 1.25 Bet365 -5.2%
Draw Value 16.7% 5.99 6.54 Pinnacle +9.3%
Iraklis 1908 Value 7.5% 13.36 14.50 Marathonbet +8.5%

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.3% 1.06 1.04 Bet365 -1.9%
Under 0.5 5.7% 17.67 17.00 888Sport -3.8%
Over 1.5 79.8% 1.25 1.20 Bet365 -4.2%
Under 1.5 20.2% 4.96 4.96 Pinnacle 0.0%
Over 2.5 56.6% 1.77 1.65 Bet365 -6.5%
Under 2.5 Value 43.4% 2.31 2.57 Pinnacle +11.4%
Over 3.5 34.3% 2.92 2.62 Bet365 -10.3%
Under 3.5 65.7% 1.52 1.62 Pinnacle +6.5%
Over 4.5 17.7% 5.65 4.50 Bet365 -20.3%
Under 4.5 82.3% 1.22 1.26 Betano +3.7%

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.8% 2.39 2.20 Bet365 -8.1%
No 58.2% 1.72 1.70 Betano -1.0%

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 92.5% 1.08 1.05 Bet365 -2.9%
AEK Athens FC / Iraklis 1908 83.3% 1.20 1.17 Bet365 -2.5%
Draw / Iraklis 1908 Value 24.2% 4.13 4.50 Betfair +8.9%

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.7
2.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
11.8
7.9
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
14.3
8.7
2.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
11.2
6.8
2.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
6.5
4.0
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
3.1
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Iraklis 1908 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

AEK Athens FC
W D W D D
Iraklis 1908
No matches yet

Head to head

These two have not met in the record.

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.