Saturday 5 September 2026, 18:00
Allwyn Arena
60%
26%
14%
Home win
59.9%
Draw
26.0%
Away win
14.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.0% | 3.85 | — | — |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 14.1% | 7.08 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.2% | 8.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.6% | 2.98 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.0% | 5.25 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.0% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.8% | 12.83 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.7% | 2.59 | — | — |
| No | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC / Draw | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| AEK Athens FC / Aris Thessalonikis | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Aris Thessalonikis | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.2
|
6.2
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.3
|
11.6
|
3.5
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.6
|
8.8
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.2
|
4.7
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Aris Thessalonikis
1-1
AEK Athens FC
Nov 2025
AEK Athens FC
1-0
Aris Thessalonikis
Mar 2025
Aris Thessalonikis
0-0
AEK Athens FC
Nov 2024
AEK Athens FC
4-0
Aris Thessalonikis
Apr 2024
Aris Thessalonikis
1-2
AEK Athens FC
Apr 2024
AEK Athens FC
2-0
Aris Thessalonikis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.