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Saturday 20 June 2020, 21:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
65% 22% 13%
Home win
65.2%
Draw
21.9%
Away win
12.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 65.2% 1.53
Draw 21.9% 4.58
Aris Thessalonikis 12.9% 7.73

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.8% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.2% 13.88
Over 1.5 76.0% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.0% 4.17
Over 2.5 51.0% 1.96
Under 2.5 49.0% 2.04
Over 3.5 28.9% 3.46
Under 3.5 71.1% 1.41
Over 4.5 13.9% 7.18
Under 4.5 86.1% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.1% 2.17
No 53.9% 1.85

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 87.1% 1.15
AEK Athens FC / Aris Thessalonikis 78.1% 1.28
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 34.8% 2.88

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.2
4.4
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
12.4
10.4
3.7
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
12.7
9.6
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
8.3
6.3
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
4.1
3.1
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.6
1.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.