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Saturday 2 January 2021, 16:30 PreZero Arena Full time
53% 23% 24%
Home win
52.7%
Draw
23.3%
Away win
23.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim 52.7% 1.90
Draw 23.3% 4.28
SC Freiburg 23.9% 4.18

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.2% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.8% 20.92
Over 1.5 83.2% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.8% 5.94
Over 2.5 61.5% 1.63
Under 2.5 38.5% 2.60
Over 3.5 39.2% 2.55
Under 3.5 60.8% 1.64
Over 4.5 21.5% 4.65
Under 4.5 78.5% 1.27

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.5% 1.63
No 38.5% 2.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim / Draw 76.1% 1.31
1899 Hoffenheim / SC Freiburg 76.7% 1.30
Draw / SC Freiburg 47.3% 2.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.8
4.6
3.2
1.3
0.4
0.1
1
7.5
10.6
6.3
2.6
0.8
0.2
2
7.8
9.7
6.0
2.5
0.8
0.2
3
5.0
6.2
3.9
1.6
0.5
0.1
4
2.4
3.0
1.9
0.8
0.2
0.1
5
0.9
1.2
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.